Dynamics and Transmission of COVID-19 Epidemic in Malaysia: Atangana-Baleanu Fractional Model

Abstract

The purpose of this artical is to specify the passage and mathematical model of COVID-19. This infectious disease COVID-19 originated in China and has affected the whole world. In the present study, we have considered, SEIR model to evaluate the spread of COVID-19 in Malaysia. In this article, we have explored the gesture of COVID-19 accurately by applying the newly advanced fractional operator of Atangana-Baleanu on the classical SEIR model. Based on (WHO) reported data in this study, we discussed the corona virus's behavior in Malaysia. We have taken the available infection cases from 1^st May 2020 to 14^th May 2020. We have matched our problem to Malaysia's actual data, which shows a firm agreement with the actual data. From the information collected from WHO, we have found the basic reproduction number . Moreover, stability analysis at DFE (Disease Free Equilibrium) and EE (Endemic Equilibrium) is accomplished for the given model to detect the model's gesture and transportation. The given fractional model has been solved numerically using MATLAB software. The influence of many parameters specifically has been shown graphically and discussed in detail. It is to be noted that in the present study, we have approximated the escalation of disease for the up-coming 300 days.